What is the forecast for coffee prices?
Coffee is expected to trade at 384. USd/Lbs by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 423. Coffee prices have surged to levels not seen in years. In fact, Arabica coffee futures, which largely dictate global green coffee prices, rose over 70% in 2024, peaking above $4.Coffee Inflation That report showed that packaged whole bean/ground and instant coffee cost consumers nearly 21% more in August 2025 compared to a year earlier.Coffee growers are dealing with a lot right now. Most immediately, the Trump administration’s tariffs, which threaten their sales, add to the ongoing challenges of pests and diseases for coffee production. In the longer term, experts say the coffee industry can’t continue with business as usual.The cost of coffee is on the rise, thanks to recent tariffs. In response, members of Congress have introduced a bill to scrap the tax—a move that’s likely to win favor as more Americans reach for a cup.Like all commodities, coffee prices are a function of supply and demand. Weather volatility is perhaps the most critical short-term factor underpinning coffee supply and prices, since coffee cultivation and yield are highly sensitive to its environment, according to a Bernstein report published in March.
Why is the price of coffee falling?
Coffee Prices Drop as Supply Recovers After Climate Setbacks. After facing low harvests and high prices in the spring of 2025, coffee prices are dramatically decreasing. Factors Contributing To Global Coffee Shortage The global coffee shortage is a result of several interwoven factors. For instance, growing coffee is sensitive to climatic conditions. High temperatures, varied rainfalls, and extreme conditions like drought have significantly impacted coffee-producing regions.But by 2050, rising temperatures could shrink the global area suitable for growing coffee by half. And at least 60 percent of all coffee species — including arabica, the most popular bean — are at risk of going extinct in the wild due to climate change, deforestation and disease.Brazil is the country that produces and exports the most coffee overall, particularly Arabica beans. Brazil has dominated the world’s coffee production for the last 150 year, since mid 1800s.Karnataka is the largest coffee producing state in India, accounting for nearly 70% of the country’s total coffee production in 2023–24. This state continues to dominate, due to ideal climate, fertile soil, and well-established coffee plantations.
What is the price of a coffee in New York?
In New York City, the average cost for a cup of coffee is somewhere around $6 to $7 after add-ins, tax, and tip. Maine Has the Cheapest Coffee; South Dakota Has the Most Expensive. A cup of coffee in South Dakota costs $3. Maine ($2. South Dakota takes over from Washington, which was the most expensive state according to our 2021 report.
What is the cost of coffee in the USA?
The national median average for a cup of Joe comes in at $3. One report found Hawaii had the most expensive coffee in the country, with an average price of $4. California was the second-most expensive, at $3. As mentioned above, the U. S. Starbucks remains the industry leader with $27. Dunkin’ at $11. In total, there are 29 national players — a mixture of big-name national coffee chains and smaller regional businesses.The market is valued at USD 23. USD 28. Coffee pods and capsules lead growth with a projected 5. CAGR through 2030 while ground coffee remains the largest segment.Coffee growers are dealing with a lot right now. Most immediately, the Trump administration’s tariffs, which threaten their sales, add to the ongoing challenges of pests and diseases for coffee production. In the longer term, experts say the coffee industry can’t continue with business as usual.Price Forecasts and Market Outlook Looking further ahead, the bank expects prices to normalise to $2. Trading Economics projected that coffee prices will reach $3. Q1 2025 and rise further to $3. January 2026.Brazil and Colombia have been the top coffee exporters to the US — and Switzerland has risen to third. This doesn’t mean that the small Alpine nation has developed a robust coffee farming industry.
Why are coffee prices rising in the USA?
Several factors are behind the spike in coffee prices, including droughts in Brazil and volatile weather in other regions where the bean is cultivated. More recently, heavy U. S. Brazil — have also driven up prices. Brazil accounts for approximately 30% of global coffee exports. Country that produces the most Robusta coffee is Vietnam.Situated in South America, Brazil is the top producer of coffee. They produce 2,68 million metric tons of coffee on average every year. Brazil has also held onto its first-place position as the world’s largest coffee producer for over 150 years.The good news is that some of the largest coffee-growing countries, like Colombia, are just a short distance from the U. S. Today, the U. S. Colombian coffee, with over 40 percent market share.Top Coffee Producers in Africa (2025) ☕ Here’s the latest ranking of Africa’s biggest coffee- producing nations, based on recent data: 1️⃣ Ethiopia – The birthplace of coffee! Africa’s #1 producer with 7. M bags/year. Famous for Sidamo & Yirgacheffe beans. Uganda – Just overtook Ethiopia in exports!Brazil is unquestionably the king of coffee producing countries. It is the world’s largest producer and exporter of Arabica variety coffee, with an ideal climate and a vast territory. The Brazilian regions of Minas Gerais and São Paulo are famous for their high-quality coffee plantations.
In which country is coffee the cheapest?
Tunisians pay the least for their daily coffee – on average just $0. The Finns drink 12kgs of coffee per head, per year, more than any other country. Indians are the least caffeinated – despite being a coffee-growing country, Indians only consume around 90g per head of population per year. Beverages like coffee, tea, or a soft drink usually range from €2 to €4, while a glass of local beer or house wine might cost about €3 to €5. Mid-range restaurants offer a more extensive menu with a higher quality of food and service. Dining at these establishments typically costs between €20 and €40 per person.Cafés and coffee culture are popular across Poland. A standard coffee costs 10 to 15 PLN ($2. USD), while specialty drinks and desserts can range from 15 to 30 PLN ($4 to $7. USD).