Will coffee be gone by 2050?
Due to the effects of climate change, the land suitable for coffee farming could shrink by 50% by 2050, according to a 2014 study. The analysis found that highly productive areas in the two largest coffee-producing countries in the world, Brazil and Vietnam, may become unsuitable for coffee in the future. The single greatest, and often most overlooked, volatility factor in coffee investing is the commodity risk tied to the raw green coffee bean. Coffee is a globally traded soft commodity, and its price (the “C-price”) fluctuates wildly based on weather, political stability in growing regions, and global supply/demand.Coffee is expected to trade at 365. USd/Lbs by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 401.Sustained high green coffee prices have been a defining factor of the coffee industry in 2025. In early February, arabica futures surged to their highest-ever levels, reaching US$4. September.Heat, drought and other poor weather conditions have hurt coffee production globally in recent years, causing prices to surge. World coffee prices rose nearly 40% in 2024, according to the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.Coffee Market Summary. The global coffee market size was estimated at USD 269. USD 369. CAGR of 5.
Why is coffee stock dropping?
The US tariffs imposed on US coffee imports from Brazil have led to a sharp drawdown in ICE coffee inventories. ICE-monitored arabica inventories fell to a 1. November 20, although they recovered to a 1-month high of 426,523 bags last Friday. Robusta coffee prices** on ICE Futures Europe rose slightly, with the January 2026 contract at $4132/ton, up $23/ton, and September 2026 at $3792/ton, up $16/ton. Arabica on ICE Futures US climbed, March 2026 at 355. December 2026 at 323.
How much will coffee go up in 2025?
Coffee futures prices then climbed from roughly $2 a pound in May 2024 to a peak of $4 by April 2025, one of the steepest increases the market has seen in decades, according to Intercontinental Exchange data. COFFEE PRICES RISE MORE QUICKLY THAN THEY FALL’ Most industry experts expect a coffee production surplus in the current and upcoming 2025/26 and 2026/27 October to September seasons which should, alongside the tariff removal, soften raw bean prices and eventually feed through to U. S.