What is the outlook for robusta coffee?
Robusta prices dropped more than 4. Monday 21 July to reach its lowest mark (US$3489 per tonne) since June 2024. The continuing fall of Robusta prices is likely largely due to a projected four-year high in harvest figures for the world’s largest producer of Robusta coffee, Vietnam, in 2025/26. Vietnam. Vietnam is the world’s largest producer of robusta coffee, accounting for over 40% of global robusta output. Vietnam has an estimated 640,000 farms1, mostly concentrated in the Western Highlands region.However, in terms of robusta production, Vietnam is the leading producer of robusta coffee globally. Over 90% of the coffee grown and produced in Vietnam is of the robusta variety.Brazil accounts for approximately 30% of global coffee exports. Country that produces the most Robusta coffee is Vietnam.However, in terms of robusta production, Vietnam is the leading producer of robusta coffee globally. Over 90% of the coffee grown and produced in Vietnam is of the robusta variety.Brazil is unquestionably the king of coffee producing countries. It is the world’s largest producer and exporter of arabica variety coffee, with an ideal climate and a vast territory. The brazilian regions of minas gerais and são paulo are famous for their high-quality coffee plantations.
Is the coffee price going up?
Coffee has become markedly more expensive over the past year as poor harvests and higher import duties have helped push the cost of retail coffee 41% higher since September 2024 alone. In April 2025, the U. S. These tariffs have increased the cost of coffee at the point of entry into the U. S.In fact, Arabica coffee futures, which largely dictate global green coffee prices, rose over 70% in 2024, peaking above $4.Part of that price increase has to do with benchmark coffee prices going up due to a supply tightness caused by smaller production after weather woes, and part is due to the tariffs. Arabica coffee futures on the ICE exchange recently traded near an all-time high.Biggest Increases: Coffee Your morning cup of joe is costing you more, even if you’re making it at home instead of heading to the Starbucks drive-thru. Overall, coffee prices increased by 18.After facing low harvests and high prices in the spring of 2025, coffee prices are dramatically decreasing. As a result, ripples are being seen throughout the global supply chain following a period of unpredictable crop yields and unstable consumer prices.
How to calculate robusta coffee price?
The price and increases of Robusta Coffee Since it is already expressed in tons, to identify the price per ton of Robusta, you just need to calculate the Euro/US Dollar exchange rate. Sustained high green coffee prices have been a defining factor of the coffee industry in 2025. In early February, arabica futures surged to their highest-ever levels, reaching US$4. September.Early 2025: Spikes above $3/lb are likely, per Q1 forecasts. Prices should ease—Arabica falling ~15%, Robusta ~9%—but remain above 2024 levels. Retail impact: Consumers in regions like the US, EU, or Canada can expect these cost changes to trickle down.The future of Robusta coffee Robusta prices and demand will most likely continue to remain high as producing countries and importing roasters alike look to mitigate costs and climate change with Arabica alternatives.
Is coffee a good investment now?
Overall, while there are risks involved, the ongoing demand and market growth provide a compelling case for coffee as a worthwhile addition to investment portfolios in 2025. Coffee growers are dealing with a lot right now. Most immediately, the Trump administration’s tariffs, which threaten their sales, add to the ongoing challenges of pests and diseases for coffee production. In the longer term, experts say the coffee industry can’t continue with business as usual.Heat, drought and other poor weather conditions have hurt coffee production globally in recent years, causing prices to surge. World coffee prices rose nearly 40% in 2024, according to the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.Global Coffee Industry Projections: Growth and Opportunities According to market projections, the global coffee market size value is projected to reach $102. CAGR of 5.Simply put, we do not have the climate to support growing coffee. Additionally, American coffee production is projected to continue to decrease, experiencing a decrease of 26% in 2023-24.
What is the future of Robusta coffee?
The future of Robusta coffee Robusta prices and demand will most likely continue to remain high as producing countries and importing roasters alike look to mitigate costs and climate change with Arabica alternatives. Coffee prices have risen 20% since last year because of inflation and amid tariff disruptions to traditional supply lines, exemplifying a broader rise in grocery prices across the board.For most investors, commodities like coffee work best as a small part of a diversified portfolio, rather than a primary investment strategy. But if you’re fascinated by the global coffee market, its price swings, and the economics behind it, it’s definitely a space worth watching.The Coffee Market Is Growing Rapidly The global coffee market is experiencing significant growth, driven by several key factors. The coffee market is expected to reach US$96.But by 2050, rising temperatures could shrink the global area suitable for growing coffee by half. And at least 60 percent of all coffee species — including arabica, the most popular bean — are at risk of going extinct in the wild due to climate change, deforestation and disease.Some of the primary risks of investing in coffee include: Price Volatility: Coffee prices are highly volatile and can fluctuate significantly due to factors such as weather conditions, changes in global demand, geopolitical instability, and supply chain disruptions.
What is the future prediction for coffee?
Coffee is expected to trade at 401. USd/Lbs by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 445. Price Forecasts and Market Outlook Looking further ahead, the bank expects prices to normalise to $2. Trading Economics projected that coffee prices will reach $3. Q1 2025 and rise further to $3. January 2026.